Unclassified · NSE: LUPIN
Lupin share analysis
Fair value, business quality, the case for and against, and the risks — computed by VestCall from reported data, updated 14 October 2026.
Lupin in one paragraph
Lupin (NSE: LUPIN) was trading at ₹1,935 on 14 October 2026. VestCall scores its business health 81/100 (strong). On valuation, the price sits in the “Fairly Valued” zone (₹1,923.49 – ₹1,982.24) — inside the modelled fair-value range. This is a reading of the evidence, not a buy or sell recommendation.
- Share price₹1,935
- Business health81/100
- Growth98/100
- Financial strength62/100
- Valuation82/100 · Fair
- Valuation zoneFairly Valued
- RiskMedium
Is Lupin overvalued or undervalued?
At ₹1,935, Lupin sits in VestCall’s “Fairly Valued” zone (₹1,923.49 – ₹1,982.24): inside the modelled fair-value range. Its valuation scores 82/100 (fair) against Unclassified peers. Zones describe where the price sits against modelled value; they are not an instruction to buy or sell.
| Valuation zone | Price band | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Deeply Discounted | ₹1,772.42 – ₹1,887.75 | Furthest below the modelled fair-value range |
| Attractive Valuation | ₹1,887.75 – ₹1,923.49 | Below the modelled fair-value range |
| Fairly Valued (current) | ₹1,923.49 – ₹1,982.24 | Inside the modelled fair-value range |
| Valuation Premium | ₹1,982.24 and above | Above the modelled fair-value range |
The case for and against Lupin
What supports the case
- Growth · 96/100.
- Capital Allocation · 87/100.
- Shareholding Quality · 82/100.
- Business Quality · 81/100.
- Management Stability · 62/100.
- Financial Strength · 62/100.
What needs proof
No measured pillar is currently below the strong range.
Lupin key ratios
| Ratio | Lupin | Unclassified median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 24.21x | — |
| P/B | 1.66x | — |
| P/S | 1.76x | — |
| Return on equity (ROE) | 17.8% | — |
| Return on capital employed (ROCE) | 22.8% | — |
| Operating margin | 24.2% | — |
| Net margin | 18.9% | — |
| Current ratio | 3.23x | — |
Lupin growth
Growth scores 98/100, with a positive trend, measured Mar 2023 to Mar 2026.
| Measure | Reading |
|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR | 19.3% |
| Net profit CAGR | 128.7% |
| EPS CAGR | 131.1% |
| Revenue growth, latest year | 23.9% |
| Profit growth, latest year | 62.0% |
Lupin bull, base and bear case
Modelled annual return under three sets of stated assumptions over 5 years. These are model outputs, not a forecast or a promise of return.
| Scenario | Modelled CAGR | Weight | Assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | +5.0% | 18% | Growth decelerates to 9% and the multiple de-rates toward the cohort's trough. |
| Base | +25.0% | 55% | Earnings compound near the measured 25% and the multiple drifts toward its quality-adjusted warranted level. |
| Bull | +38.5% | 27% | Growth holds at 35% and the market pays the full premium the measured quality supports. |
Risks to watch in Lupin
| Review trigger | Current | Threshold | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity falls below the quality floor | 17.77% | below 15% | high · armed |
| Revenue growth falls below the thesis floor | 19.3% | below 8% | high · armed |
| Promoter holding drops materially | 46.85% | below 43.86%, 3 points under the Mar 2026 filing | high · armed |
| Price runs more than two sigma above its own trend | 1935 | at or above 3257.41 | medium · armed |
| Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds tolerance | 23.06% | at or beyond 25% | low · armed |
| Leverage doubles from the level underwritten today | No leverage line in the balance sheet | unavailable | high · unmeasurable |
| Promoter pledge rises above tolerance | No pledge disclosed (the NSE filing for LUPIN could not be read either (nse_session_unavailable)) | above 10% | high · unmeasurable |
| Valuation reaches the top of its own cohort | No cohort multiple to rank against | at or above the 95th percentile | medium · unmeasurable |
An armed trigger is watched and has not fired; a breached one has.
How Lupin shares have traded
| Measure | Reading |
|---|---|
| 52-week range | ₹1,905.6 – ₹2,514.8 |
| Distance from 52-week high | −23.1% |
| Return, 3 months | −21.6% |
| Return, 12 months | −0.1% |
| Trend | Sideways |
| Annualised volatility | 25.0% |
| Deepest drawdown, 2 years | −23.1% |
Questions about Lupin shares
Is Lupin overvalued or undervalued?
At ₹1,935, Lupin sits in VestCall’s “Fairly Valued” zone (₹1,923.49 – ₹1,982.24): inside the modelled fair-value range. Its valuation scores 82/100 (fair) against Unclassified peers. Zones describe where the price sits against modelled value; they are not an instruction to buy or sell.
Is Lupin fundamentally strong?
VestCall scores Lupin’s business health 81/100 (strong). The strongest measured pillars are growth and capital allocation. Each pillar is computed from reported financials, and a pillar whose inputs were not reported is excluded rather than scored as zero.
What is Lupin’s P/E ratio?
Lupin trades at a P/E of 24.21x, on VestCall’s latest read. A multiple only means something against the business it buys: the quality-adjusted fair value on this page weighs it against Lupin’s returns and growth.
What are the risks of investing in Lupin?
The review triggers VestCall watches for Lupin are: return on equity falls below the quality floor (roe below 15%); revenue growth falls below the thesis floor (revenue cagr below 8%); promoter holding drops materially (promoter holding below 43.86%, 3 points under the Mar 2026 filing). A trigger is a named condition that would change the reading, published so the case against the stock is as visible as the case for it.
Is this a recommendation to buy or sell Lupin?
No. VestCall states where Lupin’s price sits against modelled value, what supports the case and what would break it, with every figure sourced. It does not issue buy, sell or hold calls or price targets. Vestmind is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst, and nothing on this page is personalised investment advice.
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