Unclassified · NSE: ONGC
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation share analysis
Fair value, business quality, the case for and against, and the risks — computed by VestCall from reported data, updated 14 October 2026.
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation in one paragraph
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (NSE: ONGC) was trading at ₹224.43 on 14 October 2026. VestCall scores its business health 55/100 (adequate). On valuation, the price sits in the “Attractive Valuation” zone (₹223 – ₹225.62) — below the modelled fair-value range. This is a reading of the evidence, not a buy or sell recommendation.
- Share price₹224.43
- Business health55/100
- Growth50/100
- Financial strength71/100
- Valuation98/100 · Fair
- Valuation zoneAttractive Valuation
- RiskHigh
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Is Oil and Natural Gas Corporation overvalued or undervalued?
At ₹224.43, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation sits in VestCall’s “Attractive Valuation” zone (₹223 – ₹225.62): below the modelled fair-value range. Its valuation scores 98/100 (fair) against Unclassified peers. Zones describe where the price sits against modelled value; they are not an instruction to buy or sell.
| Valuation zone | Price band | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Deeply Discounted | ₹207.31 – ₹223 | Furthest below the modelled fair-value range |
| Attractive Valuation (current) | ₹223 – ₹225.62 | Below the modelled fair-value range |
| Fairly Valued | ₹225.62 – ₹233.55 | Inside the modelled fair-value range |
| Valuation Premium | ₹233.55 and above | Above the modelled fair-value range |
The case for and against Oil and Natural Gas Corporation
What supports the case
- Shareholding Quality · 78/100.
- Capital Allocation · 77/100.
- Financial Strength · 71/100.
- Management Stability · 67/100.
What needs proof
- Growth · 29/100.
- Business Quality · 55/100.
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation key ratios
| Ratio | Oil and Natural Gas Corporation | Unclassified median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.02x | — |
| P/B | 0.15x | — |
| P/S | 0.07x | — |
| Return on equity (ROE) | 15.0% | — |
| Return on capital employed (ROCE) | 20.4% | — |
| Operating margin | 10.0% | — |
| Net margin | 7.4% | — |
| Current ratio | 1.66x | — |
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation growth
Growth scores 50/100, with a positive trend, measured Mar 2023 to Mar 2026.
| Measure | Reading |
|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR | -0.9% |
| Net profit CAGR | 13.5% |
| EPS CAGR | 5.3% |
| Revenue growth, latest year | -0.2% |
| Profit growth, latest year | 29.9% |
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation bull, base and bear case
Modelled annual return under three sets of stated assumptions over 5 years. These are model outputs, not a forecast or a promise of return.
| Scenario | Modelled CAGR | Weight | Assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | −0.7% | 20% | Growth decelerates to 3.3% and the multiple de-rates toward the cohort's trough. |
| Base | +9.3% | 54% | Earnings compound near the measured 9.3% and the multiple drifts toward its quality-adjusted warranted level. |
| Bull | +16.5% | 26% | Growth holds at 13% and the market pays the full premium the measured quality supports. |
Risks to watch in Oil and Natural Gas Corporation
| Review trigger | Current | Threshold | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth falls below the thesis floor | -0.89% | below 8% | high · breached |
| Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds tolerance | 25.54% | at or beyond 25% | low · breached |
| Return on equity falls below the quality floor | 15.01% | below 15% | high · armed |
| Promoter holding drops materially | 58.89% | below 55.89%, 3 points under the Mar 2026 filing | high · armed |
| Price runs more than two sigma above its own trend | 224.43 | at or above 387.62 | medium · armed |
| Leverage doubles from the level underwritten today | No leverage line in the balance sheet | unavailable | high · unmeasurable |
| Promoter pledge rises above tolerance | No pledge disclosed (the NSE filing for ONGC could not be read either (nse_session_unavailable)) | above 10% | high · unmeasurable |
| Valuation reaches the top of its own cohort | No cohort multiple to rank against | at or above the 95th percentile | medium · unmeasurable |
An armed trigger is watched and has not fired; a breached one has.
How Oil and Natural Gas Corporation shares have traded
| Measure | Reading |
|---|---|
| 52-week range | ₹219.8 – ₹301.4 |
| Distance from 52-week high | −25.5% |
| Return, 3 months | −9.8% |
| Return, 12 months | −8.7% |
| Trend | Downtrend |
| Annualised volatility | 28.8% |
| Deepest drawdown, 2 years | −35.7% |
Questions about Oil and Natural Gas Corporation shares
Is Oil and Natural Gas Corporation overvalued or undervalued?
At ₹224.43, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation sits in VestCall’s “Attractive Valuation” zone (₹223 – ₹225.62): below the modelled fair-value range. Its valuation scores 98/100 (fair) against Unclassified peers. Zones describe where the price sits against modelled value; they are not an instruction to buy or sell.
Is Oil and Natural Gas Corporation fundamentally strong?
VestCall scores Oil and Natural Gas Corporation’s business health 55/100 (adequate). The strongest measured pillars are shareholding quality and capital allocation. The ones that need proof are growth and business quality. Each pillar is computed from reported financials, and a pillar whose inputs were not reported is excluded rather than scored as zero.
What is Oil and Natural Gas Corporation’s P/E ratio?
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.02x, on VestCall’s latest read. A multiple only means something against the business it buys: the quality-adjusted fair value on this page weighs it against Oil and Natural Gas Corporation’s returns and growth.
What are the risks of investing in Oil and Natural Gas Corporation?
The review triggers VestCall watches for Oil and Natural Gas Corporation are: revenue growth falls below the thesis floor (revenue cagr below 8%); drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds tolerance (drawdown from 52-week high at or beyond 25%); return on equity falls below the quality floor (roe below 15%). On the fundamentals, growth is the weakest measured pillar at 29/100. A trigger is a named condition that would change the reading, published so the case against the stock is as visible as the case for it.
Is this a recommendation to buy or sell Oil and Natural Gas Corporation?
No. VestCall states where Oil and Natural Gas Corporation’s price sits against modelled value, what supports the case and what would break it, with every figure sourced. It does not issue buy, sell or hold calls or price targets. Vestmind is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst, and nothing on this page is personalised investment advice.
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