Power · NSE: ADANIGREEN
Adani Green Energy share analysis
Fair value, business quality, the case for and against, and the risks — computed by VestCall from reported data, updated 14 October 2026.
Adani Green Energy in one paragraph
Adani Green Energy (NSE: ADANIGREEN) was trading at ₹1,298 on 14 October 2026. VestCall scores its business health 63/100 (adequate). On valuation, the price sits in the “Valuation Premium” zone (₹1,178.52 and above) — above the modelled fair-value range. This is a reading of the evidence, not a buy or sell recommendation.
- Share price₹1,298
- Business health63/100
- Growth54/100
- Financial strength60/100
- Valuation38/100 · Fair
- Valuation zoneValuation Premium
- RiskVery High
Is Adani Green Energy overvalued or undervalued?
At ₹1,298, Adani Green Energy sits in VestCall’s “Valuation Premium” zone (₹1,178.52 and above): above the modelled fair-value range. Its valuation scores 38/100 (fair) against Power peers. Zones describe where the price sits against modelled value; they are not an instruction to buy or sell.
| Valuation zone | Price band | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Deeply Discounted | ₹880.29 – ₹998.6 | Furthest below the modelled fair-value range |
| Attractive Valuation | ₹998.6 – ₹1,112.61 | Below the modelled fair-value range |
| Fairly Valued | ₹1,112.61 – ₹1,178.52 | Inside the modelled fair-value range |
| Valuation Premium (current) | ₹1,178.52 and above | Above the modelled fair-value range |
The case for and against Adani Green Energy
What supports the case
- Growth · 80/100.
- Shareholding Quality · 78/100.
- Management Stability · 67/100.
What needs proof
- Capital Allocation · 36/100.
- Business Quality · 47/100.
- Financial Strength · 60/100.
Adani Green Energy key ratios
| Ratio | Adani Green Energy | Power median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.46x | — |
| P/B | 9.57x | — |
| P/S | 10.31x | — |
| Return on equity (ROE) | 10.5% | — |
| Return on capital employed (ROCE) | 10.6% | — |
| Operating margin | 11.5% | — |
| Net margin | 11.4% | — |
| Current ratio | 0.61x | — |
Adani Green Energy growth
Growth scores 54/100, with a stable trend, measured Mar 2023 to Mar 2026.
| Measure | Reading |
|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR | 17.1% |
| Net profit CAGR | 19.8% |
| EPS CAGR | 21.3% |
| Revenue growth, latest year | 11.3% |
| Profit growth, latest year | 0.8% |
Adani Green Energy bull, base and bear case
Modelled annual return under three sets of stated assumptions over 5 years. These are model outputs, not a forecast or a promise of return.
| Scenario | Modelled CAGR | Weight | Assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | +1.6% | 28% | Growth decelerates to 5.6% and the multiple de-rates toward the cohort's trough. |
| Base | +15.6% | 51% | Earnings compound near the measured 15.6% and the multiple drifts toward its quality-adjusted warranted level. |
| Bull | +25.3% | 21% | Growth holds at 21.8% and the market pays the full premium the measured quality supports. |
Risks to watch in Adani Green Energy
| Review trigger | Current | Threshold | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity falls below the quality floor | 10.54% | below 15% | high · breached |
| Revenue growth falls below the thesis floor | 17.05% | below 8% | high · armed |
| Promoter holding drops materially | 62.43% | below 59.43%, 3 points under the Jun 2026 filing | high · armed |
| Price runs more than two sigma above its own trend | 1298 | at or above 2248.22 | medium · armed |
| Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds tolerance | 19.1% | at or beyond 25% | low · armed |
| Leverage doubles from the level underwritten today | No leverage line in the balance sheet | unavailable | high · unmeasurable |
| Promoter pledge rises above tolerance | No pledge disclosed (the NSE filing for ADANIGREEN could not be read either (nse_session_unavailable)) | above 10% | high · unmeasurable |
| Valuation reaches the top of its own cohort | No cohort multiple to rank against | at or above the 95th percentile | medium · unmeasurable |
An armed trigger is watched and has not fired; a breached one has.
How Adani Green Energy shares have traded
| Measure | Reading |
|---|---|
| 52-week range | ₹772.8 – ₹1,604.5 |
| Distance from 52-week high | −19.1% |
| Return, 3 months | −19.1% |
| Return, 12 months | +22.5% |
| Trend | Uptrend |
| Annualised volatility | 48.6% |
| Deepest drawdown, 2 years | −62.9% |
Questions about Adani Green Energy shares
Is Adani Green Energy overvalued or undervalued?
At ₹1,298, Adani Green Energy sits in VestCall’s “Valuation Premium” zone (₹1,178.52 and above): above the modelled fair-value range. Its valuation scores 38/100 (fair) against Power peers. Zones describe where the price sits against modelled value; they are not an instruction to buy or sell.
Is Adani Green Energy fundamentally strong?
VestCall scores Adani Green Energy’s business health 63/100 (adequate). The strongest measured pillars are growth and shareholding quality. The ones that need proof are capital allocation and business quality. Each pillar is computed from reported financials, and a pillar whose inputs were not reported is excluded rather than scored as zero.
What is Adani Green Energy’s P/E ratio?
Adani Green Energy trades at a P/E of 11.46x, on VestCall’s latest read. A multiple only means something against the business it buys: the quality-adjusted fair value on this page weighs it against Adani Green Energy’s returns and growth.
What are the risks of investing in Adani Green Energy?
The review triggers VestCall watches for Adani Green Energy are: return on equity falls below the quality floor (roe below 15%); revenue growth falls below the thesis floor (revenue cagr below 8%); promoter holding drops materially (promoter holding below 59.43%, 3 points under the Jun 2026 filing). On the fundamentals, capital allocation is the weakest measured pillar at 36/100. A trigger is a named condition that would change the reading, published so the case against the stock is as visible as the case for it.
Is this a recommendation to buy or sell Adani Green Energy?
No. VestCall states where Adani Green Energy’s price sits against modelled value, what supports the case and what would break it, with every figure sourced. It does not issue buy, sell or hold calls or price targets. Vestmind is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst, and nothing on this page is personalised investment advice.
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